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NFL Postseason Prediction: Top Seed Will Not Win Super Bowl


The NFL playoffs kick off Saturday with Wild-Card Weekend, which means none of the top seed — the Green Bay Packers in the NFC and the Tennessee Titans in the AFC — will be in play. However, we’re here to predict that neither of them will make it to the Super Bowl because every top seed does it pretty rarely and a win over the top seed doesn’t happen often either.

NFL 2021-2022 Playoffs Predictor

Since the NFL expanded to 32 teams and was reorganized into eight divisions in 2002, more than half of the No. 1 seeded AFC and NFC teams — 20 of 38 — have ultimately played in the Vince Lombardi Cup. That includes at least one in seven of the past eight years and five cases where they both met No. 1 for the title.

Only eight of the top-ranked seeders have won a Super Bowl over the past 19 years, and more than half (five) of those (five) had a 1v1 result. The last 1v1 match was Super Bowl LII when Philadelphia upset New England.

Green Bay was ranked No. 1 in the NFC last year and lost in a conference title match at home to Tampa Bay. Tennessee State has not been the top seed in the AFC since 2008 and the Giants lost on the Divisional Tour and then to Baltimore.

Seven of the 14 teams made the playoffs with one new game remaining after the 2021 season, having missed the playoffs a year ago: Arizona, Cincinnati, Dallas, Las Vegas, New England, Philadelphia and San Francisco.

Since 1990, at least four teams each season have qualified for the playoffs after failing to make the post-season the previous year. AFC North (Cincinnati) and NFC East (Dallas) won the teams they missed post-season in 2020.

Cincinnati completed a “worst to first” turnaround, winning the North Asian title after finishing last. At least one team has won its league this season after having finished or tied for last place in 17 of the past 19 seasons. The Los Angeles Rams (NFC West) and Tampa Bay Buccaneers (NFC South) are also the new Division 1 winners in 2021.

At least two teams have won their league this season after missing the playoffs in 18 of the past 19 years. In each of the past 44 seasons (1977-2021, with the exception of 1982, when division play did not occur), at least one team had won its division in the season after missing the playoffs.

Seven of the 14 playoff teams this season have won at least one Super Bowl since 1999, capturing 14 of 22 former Vince Lombardi awards. Those teams are the Patriots (XXXVI, XXXVIII, XXXIX, XLIX, LI, LIII), the Pirates (XXXVII, LV), the Steelers (XL, XLIII), the Packers (XLV), the Chiefs (LIV), the Eagles (LII), and the Rams (IV). thirty).

Six key players at the start of the match under the age of 27 – Buffalo Josh Allen (25), Joe Borough of Cincinnati (25), Galen Hurts of Philadelphia (23), Mac Jones of New England (23), Patrick Mahomes of Kansas City (26) and Kayler Murray of Arizona (24). The only postseason with more was 2020 (seven).

There were seven coaches appointed last January and only one of them made the playoffs a year later: Philadelphia. Nick Syriani.

He made some bad decisions during the 1-4 start of the season that didn’t really improve until Halloween, when he coached his team to beat Campbell and the Lions and used that to push Philly to a 7-3 finish of the season and a Wild Card berth.

“I don’t think about it,” Siriani said on Monday. “All I care about is that our squad is successful, and our squad is ready to play every week. So, I didn’t really think too much about that. I am just grateful that we are in the position we are in now to go down to Tampa and play a really good team in the playoffs and prepare for that.”

The Eagles’ number will be superior to the standings, coming in at 9 points on Sunday against defending champion Tampa Bay. The Bucs won Philly earlier this season but teams have the same record against common opponents.

They faced off against seven combined teams – Cowboys, Hawks, Saints, Washingtons, Giants, Panthers and Jets. Both dealt with Falcons, Panthers and Jets, with the Bucs beating Atlanta and Carolina twice each. The Bucs beat the Cowboys, who beat the Eagles twice. The Eagles split against the Giants, who were defeated by the Bucs once. But the Eagles overran Washington, to which Tampa lost, and the Eagles also beat the Saints, who lost twice. Both are 7-3 against common opponents.

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