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NFL 2021-22 Wild Card Round Against the Spread Betting Picks


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The NFL regular season was an exciting one that saw the final game rankings determined by an OT field goal kick with no time left on the clock. It was a fitting end to what had been a season full of surprises and turmoil. Now we have to wait and see if all of that moves into the post-season. Will one of the frontrunners go all the way and raise the Lombardi Trophy, or will we see a black horse appear to spoil the apple cart? We’ll start getting answers on Saturday when Wild Card Weekend begins, with 6 games spread over 3 days. We’ve already made SU our picks for this weekend. Let’s now turn our attention to some ATS picks so you can be sure to place your bets on NFL Playoff Odds.

ATS’s Wild Card Picks for the Weekend | NFL Betting Analysis

New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills (-4)

Given that these two teams are very familiar with each other, it’s perhaps not really surprising that bookmakers see this team as a bit tight. The regular season series between these two ended with a split, which also makes this even more difficult to hamper. The Patriots have gone 5-3 ATS in road games this season, while the Bills have been 4-3-2 at home. There are certain trends that you can look at that make a very good case for both teams, starting with the fact that the Patriots have been outperforming the ATS 8-3 in the last 11 games in total. However, the Bills are 6-1-1 ATS in the last 8 matches versus the divisional opponents. For me, it all comes down to the home field advantage, with the Bills winning 13 out of 16 in the last 16 at Orchard Park. I love them to win and cover here.

San Francisco 49ers at Dallas Cowboys (-3)

Cowboys fans are almost certainly happy to see their team again in the NFL playoffs but ask anyone outside of Texas about the Cowboys’ chances and you don’t see a lot of people supporting them for a deep run. This is a bit surprising when you consider that this team finished the season strong, winning 5 of their last 6 matches. That’s a solid bit of momentum, but 49 people have that too, looking dead and buried a few weeks ago. They went on to win 4 of 5 and completed an amazing comeback against the L.A. Rams in Week 18 to get into the playoffs by flogging their teeth. The trend that stands out for me in this game is that the Cowboys have had 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games versus their NFC competitors.

Arizona Cardinals (+4) in LA Rams

I’m closing these ATS picks with a choice that might sound a bit risky when you consider the Cardinals’ recent trends against the spread. It’s especially risky when you consider that the Cardinals have only had one win in the last 5 games of the season. The Rams came close to ending their regular season in 6 games in a row, but a stunning comeback from 49 players in the final week of the regular season brought their positive run to a halt. The Cardinals are 8-1 ATS in the last 9 road matches, but they are also 1-8-1 ATS in the last 10 vs. Rams games. However, Los Angeles has only 3-7 ATS in its last 10 starts as the favorite. I think this one is tight all the way, which is why I’m on the Cardinals to cover.


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